ilmscore | FED Monetary Policy Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 15
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 13
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted that more monetary easing from the Fed is coming in 2026.
"that uh more easing is coming next year."
Dec 7, 2025
Pending
Fed is projected to implement an additional 50 basis points in rate cuts in 2025.
"The medium projection shows 50 basis points in additional rate cuts for 2025."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
Eight Fed officials predict two additional rate cuts in 2025.
"And eight Fed officials see two additional rate cuts in 2025."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
Six Fed officials predict no further rate cuts in 2025.
"Six Fed officials see no more rate cuts in 2025."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
An additional 50 basis points in Fed rate cuts are expected in October, November, or December 2025, either as one 50bps cut or two 25bps cuts.
"So in the next months for October, November and December they're expecting at least either one large..."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
By September 2026, the Polymarket odds for a 50 basis point Fed rate cut will increase to 20% or 30%.
"I would imagine—and I'm going to put my head on the block here—I'm going to say, "I would imagine th..."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
The market is reacting to a prediction of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut in September 2025.
"We think that Trump is getting his wishes of a 25 basis point rate cut in September. The Fed will po..."
Aug 13, 2025
Pending
The Fed will begin cutting rates slowly, likely with quarter-point cuts in the three remaining meetings of 2024 and then sporadically throughout 2025.
"the FED will start by going slow only giving us maybe a quarter point rate Cuts in the three meeting..."
Aug 26, 2024
Pending
A total Fed rate cut of 2% over the next year remains possible, but only if economic data indicates the economy is entering a recession.
"A total cut of 2% over the next year is still possible but it would require data to start showing th..."
Aug 26, 2024
Pending
Futures pricing indicates the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates seven more times, totaling 2% reduction, over the next year.
"Futures pricing shows the market expects the central bank to cut seven more times a total of 2% off ..."
Aug 26, 2024
Pending
The market forecasts a 73% probability that the Fed will lower interest rates by 0.25% at its meeting on September 18, 2024.
"a market forecast of 73% that the FED will lower rates by a quarter percent when it meets here on Se..."
Aug 26, 2024
Pending
The Fed will cut rates in September 2024, and the author believes it should be by 50 basis points.
"that that's basically in the bag the biggest question really in my mind is do they cut 25 base point..."
Aug 21, 2024
Pending
Predicted that a FED rate cut (monetary easing) is most likely to occur in September 2024.
"now we think we know September seems like the most likely outcome"
Aug 10, 2024
Incorrect
Predicted the Fed will eventually be forced to cut interest rates once high rates significantly impact the labor market.
"at some point we're going to reach a threshold where it affects the lab labor market and then the FE..."
Apr 10, 2024
Pending
Predicted that rate cuts will eventually be priced back into the market after a period of being pushed out and market capitulation.
"eventually we reach the point where all the pricing out of rate Cuts causes the market to throw in t..."
Apr 10, 2024
Correct